Insanity is doing the same things over and over and expecting different results.

Albert Einstein

Thanks to Lexis Nexis for making my most recent article available from the current issue of Risk Management Today to my clients and readers.

The editorial panel was asked to cast their mind back to the most significant risk events over the last 12 months. For mine it was a thematic observation that despite strategic risk being the risk class which causes the greatest long term destruction and creation of shareholder value, it the class of risk most poorly handled. There are many reasons for this, but perhaps the greatest is that these tend to be slowly unfolding events over multiple years and therefore tend to not grab our attention in the same way that a sudden shock does.

The good news is that this risk class is starting to get the attention of the mainstream at the big end of town. The bad news is that there are many spruikers who are apparently suddenly well equipped to deal with this class of risk. My assessment is there’s very little substance to much of what’s on offer. This article offers a festive perspective and (hopefully) a little humour to a serious topic as well as a few pragmatic suggestions on how to get on top of this important risk class.

I hope you enjoy it as a light read during the quiet period and I look forward to catching up with you in the new year.

Key points

• ASX Principle 7 requires a focus on material business risks rather than being swamped by process. At the time of drafting the current Principles, the Corporate Governance Council was concerned that companies were being dragged into the minutia by risk processes rather than using them for strategic insights. From a shareholder perspective it seems their concerns were correct.
• Most risk assessments work on the assumption that all things remain the same. The biggest risk of all is that all things don’t remain the same. This is where black swans often are hiding.
• Here’s a bunch of things to think about over the Christmas break.

Please feel free to download the article and pass it on. (Risk Management Today Issue 6 -Black swans, 3 pages, 132kB)

More information on this publication can be found here.

Seasons greetings,

Todd